Profile: Charlestown

Tuesday, July 3, 2018

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AT A GLANCE

When Liberal Andrew Cornwell won Charlestown in the 2011 landslide against Labor, it represented the Libs’ first ever win and biggest ever first preference vote in the seat’s history.

But as we all now know, that didn’t end well, with Cornwell falling on his sword in the wake of the political donations scandal which unravelled before the ICAC last year.

At the subsequent byelection last October, Lake Macquarie mayor Jodie Harrison returned the seat to Labor and, in the absence of a Liberal candidate, gained a 20.8 per cent margin.

OUR PREDICTION

The Libs will return to the mix at the March 28 poll, with Lake councillor Jason Pauling dipping the party’s toe back in the water. A boundary adjustment in 2012 has done the Liberals no favours, and while stranger things have happened, only the brave can see the Liberals regaining this seat. Also expect a strong showing from Greens candidate Jane Oakley.

Suburbs in electorate: Adamstown, Adamstown Heights, Belmont North, Bennetts Green, Cardiff, Cardiff Heights, Charlestown, Dudley, Eleebana, Garden Suburb, Gateshead, Highfields, Hillsborough, Jewells, Kahibah, Kotara, Kotara South, Merewether, Mount Hutton, New Lambton, New Lambton Heights, Redhead, Tingira Heights, Warners Bay, Whitebridge, Windale.

Currently held by: Jodie Harrison, Labor

Margin: 20.8% to Labor (Following 2014 byelection)

Boundary redistribution: Added 0.7% to Labor on 2011 result.

Voters: 54,688

Two-party preferred result 2011: Andrew Cornwell (Lib) 21,856 beat Matthew Morris (Labor) 14,661

Total population: 64,122

Median age: 40

Charlestown: Will the Liberals make any inroads after ICAC? Picture: Max Mason-Hubers

Total workforce: 31,130

Weekly household income: $1193

People who travel to work by public transport: 720

People who travel to work by car as passenger or driver: 22,496

Couples without children: 6928

Couples with children: 7771

One parent families: 3235

Own house outright: 9273

Own house with mortgage: 8519

Rent home: 5834

Median monthly mortgage repayment: $1800

Unemployment rate: TBC

Your candidates from left: Jane Oakley (Greens), Arjay Martin (Independent) Jodie Harrison (Labor), Tania Morvillo (No Land Tax, no picture supplied), Brian Tucker (Christian Democratic Party), Jason Pauling (Liberal), Luke Arms (Independent).

CANDIDATES IN BALLOT ORDER

1.Jane Oakley, Greens

2.Arjay Martin, Independent

3.Jodie Harrison, Labor

4.Tania Morvillo, No Land Tax

5.Brian Tucker, Christian Democratic Party

6.Jason Pauling, Liberal

7.Luke Arms, Independent

* Information collected from 2011 Census, Newcastle Herald archive and Elections NSW.